'Doomsday Clock' Ticks One Minute Toward Destruction

'Doomsday Clock' Ticks One Minute Toward Destruction

See http://news.discovery.com/human/doomsday-clock-due-120110.html#mkcpgn=rssnws1

 The next few decades years are going to be make it or break it years.

I sincerely believe that if every single individual does not accept personal responsibility for the facts before us, we are doomed.

We have "toys" that we do not have the intellectual capabilities, emotional capabilities or political wherewithal to manage, as a people (you may have).  Unfortunately, it only takes one wacko to light the fuse.  We are not acting like a mature, rational and reasonable people with our global best interests at heart.  Many of us are the ostrich with our heads planted firmly in the sand.  La, la, la, can't hear you, doh di doh, still can't hear you ...

Carl Sagan said it very well.  He said, "Imagine you are in a gymnasium awash with gasoline.  One super power says we have 5,000 matches and the other responds,  yes, but we have 10,000 matches."  Allow me to add, the poor little terrorist only has one match but has a cause they are willing to die for and are quite happy to take all infidels with them.

Some nuclear waste has a half life of 15,000 years (think about how long we have been recording history by comparison).  That doesn't mean it's gone in 15,000 years, only that there's half as much ... but we're creating it faster that it is decaying.  Our very best efforts at storage have proved to be inadequate with even the most attention to detail.  There have been many leaks from storage facilities into ground water.  Can we keep this up hoping for a better solution for 15,000, 30,000, 60,000 years?  NO!

I sincerely doubt we have 100 years left as a species.  Every single computer simulation of global warming shows that once we cross the trip point, it is irreversible.  There is ample evidence that we are very close to that point and still the political machine scoffs and carries on with business as usual.  Get rid of all those assholes.  Bring reason and intelligence to geopolitical management.  Get rid of the pork barrel good ol' boys, permanently.  Attempts at political one upsmanship is, regrettably, trumping reason.  If there is some legitimate argument for validity of the global warming argument, why not err on the side of caution rather than pooh-pooh the issue.

If you are a believer in an omnipotent universal deity then you must believe that he/she/it has millions of "people" to deal with throughout the universe so if one species acts irresponsibly they must live (or not) with the consequences of their actions.  Can't help out fools forever can he/she/it.  The universe is not a welfare state.  If you believe that we aren't sharing the universe with others and that, that same deity only cares about Earth then they become man-made don't they?  Regardless, we can't expect to have some deity say "Poor babies, you're acting like idiotic morons, there-there, I'll make it all better, you go on being stupid, it doesn't matter, no need to grow up and be responsible for your actions."  At some point we have to grow up.  Why not start today?

When I rant about my 100 year armageddon I often hear in response "I'm glad I won't be around for that!"  That really blows my mind that any person could care so little for their fellow man and more specifically the fruit of their loins, their progeny.  Our children, grandchildren will have to live in the muck we leave them.  Whatever will they think of us that we were so self-serving and cared so little?

Ultimately, almost all difficult issues come down to the overpopulation issue and no politicians have the courage to address that issue.

What have you done to stave off the pending disasters today?  Disbelief doesn't count.

Dave out; rant turned down to simmer

~~~~~~~~~~~
"If you do not fight your enemy at a time and place of your choosing where you know you can win, then ultimately you fight him at a time and place of his choosing where you can never win."  Sir Winston Leonard Spencer Churchill, (1874-1965)
~~~~~~~~~~~


P.S. I'll be very honest here.  I've got this out of my system for a while.  Even a well constructed and clever response may not get a response from me; not due to disinterest but due to time constraints.  Can't save the world while I'm arguing over it.  Action trumps talk.  Therefore, I've brought this email to my blog site.  Please post any responses you may have here, so that all may appreciate your wisdom, insight and efforts.

Stumping for Breast Cancer

Quick note:    This is the one email of the year I send to everyone in my email address book whether or not they are on my regular newsletter list.  It's just too important.  If you don't get regular emailings from me, you still won't.

~~~

About once a year, you'll get this nag from me to support breast cancer research and free mammograms for women of low financial means.
One will cost you money (but not much) and the other only a few seconds of your day.

I encourage regular visits to this site to click and have advertisers donate on your behalf.  I visit daily.  It costs me no money and only three seconds per day.  It will be the same for you.  Bookmark it if you choose to.  If so inclined, you can click on the links across the top to support, in the same way, Hunger, Animals, Veterans, Autism research, Child Health, Literacy and the Rain Forest.  All are important issues. Pick your favorite(s).

You have all heard me harp on purchasing the breast cancer postage stamp, many times.  Well, it's time is almost up and unless it's sales increase dramatically soon it will discontinue at the end of this month.  It has raised about $60 million dollars for breast cancer research a few pennies at a time.  Your pennies and my pennies; pennies from anyone who cares.  As anyone who has received mail from me knows, I use them exclusively.  They each cost only 11 cents more than a regular first class stamp but as I always say "I never saw a breast that wasn't worth 11 cents."  The owners of those breasts are priceless and they're not all female.  I rarely encourage people to forward my missives,giving you credit for sufficient intelligence to make your own decisions.  This time I will ask you to forward, not because my opinion of your intellect has diminished, but simply to give you a gentle kick in the ass encouragement on this very important program.  Please accept my deepest and most sincere thanks.

Cfbbjffh

For those, on the list, that I don't have the pleasure of more frequent correspondence, I wish you the most joyous holiday season, much health, much love and a prosperous 2012.

Sincerely,
Dave out


P.S. On an unrelated issue:  If anyone knows anyone in the beverage business I'd like the contact to ask a few simple questions.  Thanks.
 

~~~~~~~~~~~
"Experience is what you get when you don't get what you want."
Author unknown
~~~~~~~~~~~


Internet Gamers Solve a Problem in Organic Chemistry that has Stumped Scientists. It could point the way to a cure for AIDS.

http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2011/09/18/7802623-gamers-solve-molecular-puzzle-that-baffled-scientists

MSNBC's Thomas Roberts talks with University of Washington Center for Game Science director Seth Cooper and researcher Firas Khatib about a video game that helped unravel a protein structure in an AIDS-like virus.

Last updated 12:45 p.m. ET Sept. 20:

Video-game players have solved a molecular puzzle that stumped scientists for years, and those scientists say the accomplishment could point the way to crowdsourced cures for AIDS and other diseases.

"This is one small piece of the puzzle in being able to help with AIDS," Firas Khatib, a biochemist at the University of Washington, told me. Khatib is the lead author of a research paper on the project, published today by

Nature Structural & Molecular Biology.

The feat, which was accomplished using a 

collaborative online game called Foldit, is also one giant leap for citizen science — a burgeoning field that enlists Internet users to look for alien planets, decipher ancient texts and do other scientific tasks that sheer computer power can't accomplish as easily.

"People have spatial reasoning skills, something computers are not yet good at," Seth Cooper, a UW computer scientist who is Foldit's lead designer and developer, explained in a news release. "Games provide a framework for bringing together the strengths of computers and humans."

Unraveling a retrovirus
For more than a decade, an international team of scientists has been trying to figure out the detailed molecular structure of a protein-cutting enzyme from an AIDS-like virus found in rhesus monkeys. Such enzymes, known asretroviral proteases, play a key role in the virus' spread — and if medical researchers can figure out their structure, they could conceivably design drugs to stop the virus in its tracks. The strategy has been compared todesigning a key to fit one of Mother Nature's locks.

The problem is that enzymes are far tougher to crack than your typical lock. There are millions of ways that the bonds between the atoms in the enzyme's molecules could twist and turn. To design the right chemical key, you have to figure out the most efficient, llowest-energy configuration for the molecule — the one that Mother Nature herself came up with.

That's where Foldit plays a role. The game is designed so that players can manipulate virtual molecular structures that look like multicolored, curled-up Tinkertoy sets. The virtual molecules follow the same chemical rules that are obeyed by real molecules. When someone playing the game comes up with a more elegant structure that reflects a lower energy state for the molecule, his or her score goes up. If the structure requires more energy to maintain, or if it doesn't reflect real-life chemistry, then the score is lower.

More than 236,000 players have registered for the game since its debut in 2008.

The monkey-virus puzzle was one of several unsolved molecular mysteries that a colleague of Khatib's at the university, Frank DiMaio, recently tried to solve using a method that took advantage of a protein-folding computer program called Rosetta. "This was one of the cases where his method wasn't able to solve it," Khatib said.

Fortunately, the challenge fit the current capabilities of the Foldit game, so Khatib and his colleagues put the puzzle out there for Foldit's teams to work on. "This was really kind of a last-ditch effort," he recalled. "Can the Foldit players really solve it?"

They could. "They actually did it in less than 10 days," Khatib said.

Bbghigci
 


A screen shot shows how the Foldit program posed the monkey-virus molecular puzzle.

One floppy loop of the molecule, visible on the left side of this image, was particularly tricky to figure out. But players belonging to the Foldit Contenders Group worked as a tag team to come up with an incredibly elegant, low-energy model for the monkey-virus enzyme.

"Standard autobuilding and structure refinement methods showed within hours that the solution was almost certainly correct," the researchers reported in the paper published today. "Using the Foldit solution, the final refined structure was completed a few days later."

Khatib said the Seattle team's collaborators in Poland were in such a celebratory mood that they insisted on organizing a simultaneous champagne toast, shared over a Skype video teleconference.

"Although much attention has recently been given to the potential of crowdsourcing and game playing, this is the first instance that we are aware of in which online gamers solved a longstanding scientific problem," Khatib and his colleagues wrote.

The parts of the molecule that formed the floppy loop turned out to be of particular interest. "These features provide exciting opportunities for the design of retroviral drugs, including AIDS drugs," the researchers said.

Looking for new problems to solve
The monkey-virus puzzle solution demonstrates that Foldit and other science-oriented video games could be used to address a wide range of other scientific challenges — ranging from drug development to genetic engineering for future biofuels. "My hope is that scientists will see this research and give us more of those cases," Khatib said.

He's not alone in that hope. "Foldit shows that a game can turn novices into domain experts capable of producing first-class scientific discoveries," Zoran Popovic, director of University of Washington's Center for Game Science, said in today's news release. "We are currently applying the same approach to change the way math and science are taught in school."

That's something that Carter Kimsey, program director for the National Science Foundation's Division of Biological Infrastructure, would love to see happen. "After this discovery, young people might not mind doing their science homework," she quipped.

One caveat, though: Playing Foldit isn't exactly like playing Bejeweled. "Let's be honest, proteins aren't the sexiest video game out there," Khatib told me.Give the game a whirl, and let me know whether it's addictive or a drag.

Tale of a Contender
The final decisive move in the Foldit Contender Group's solution to the monkey-virus puzzle involved twisting around that floppy loop, or "flap," in the structure of the enzyme. The paper published today notes that one of the Contenders, nicknamed "mimi," built upon the work done by other gamers to make that move. I got in touch with mimi via email, and here's the wonderfully detailed response she sent back today from Britain:

"I have been playing Foldit for nearly three years, and I have been in the Contenders team for two and a half years.

"Although there are 35 names on the members list on the website, when you take off duplicate names and non-active players, it comes down to about 12 to 15 people.

"The team members come from a wide range of backgrounds, chiefly scientific or IT [information technology], although our best player is from neither.

"One of the main features of Foldit is the ability to communicate via chat within the game. There is both global chat, which everyone can access, and individual group chat, which allows team members to talk easily to one another. The Contenders are spread out between Canada, USA, UK, Europe and New Zealand, so this is essential.

"Each player can work on a solo solution to a puzzle, but we can also exchange solutions between the team and add our own improvements to achieve a better result. Often the evolved solution for a team scores higher than the top solo score.

"The game is not only an interesting intellectual challenge, allowing you to use your problem-solving skills, 'feel' for protein shapes, and whatever biochemical knowledge you have to obtain a solution to each puzzle, but it also provides a unique society of players driven by both individual and team rivalry with an overall purpose of improving the game and the results achieved. A body of knowledge has been built up in the Wiki by contributions from players, and ideas are constantly fed back to the game designers.

"In the case of the Mason-Pfizer monkey virus, I had looked at the structure of the options we were presented with and identified that it would be better if the 'flap' could be made to sit closer to the body of the protein — one of the basic rules of folding is to make the protein as compact as possible — but when I tried this with my solo solution, I couldn't get it to work. However, when I applied the same approach to the evolved solution that had been worked on by other team members, I was able to get it to tuck in, and that proved to be the answer to the structure. I believe that it was the changes made by my colleagues that enabled mine to work, so it was very much a team effort.

"We were all very excited to hear that we had helped to find the answer to this crystal form, especially since it had been outstanding so long and other methods had been unsuccessful. The feeling of having done something that could make a significant contribution to research in this field is very special and unexpected. Foldit players have achieved a number of successes so far, and I hope we will go on to make many more.

"You may be aware that we asked for accreditation for the Foldit Contenders Team within the article, rather than being named individually.

"Many of the people playing the game are known only by their user name, even within a team.

"I would be grateful if you could refer to me as 'mimi' rather than using my full name."

Update for 12:45 p.m. ET Sept. 20: I've added an MSNBC video about the Foldit project, and I've also heard back via email from another one of the Contenders, a player known as "Bletchley Park":

"We are all very excited about the discovery, to see the story unfold now is very gratifying. The main motivator of the Contenders group, and most Foldit players for that matter, is the advancement of science. It is very typical for mimi not to have her real name listed or even to claim the discovery as her own.

"Contenders is a group of like-minded individuals. The strength lies in comradeship, cooperation and perseverance. Most of us have been 'folding' for several hours each day over the past years.

"To be part of this adventure is a very fulfilling experience. Quite a few of us have or have had family members who suffered from the modern terminal diseases and find energy in those experiences to keep folding with the intention to make a difference."

More games for science:

VERY IMPORTANT - INCREASINGLY COMMON SCAM - PLEASE READ IMMEDIATELY!

I have just had calls from two clients who have asked if they had done the right thing.  They didn't, and could very well be in dire financial straits.  They are assessing the damage but I didn't want to wait to warn you.

Here's the scam.  A person calls, claiming to be from Microsoft (or somewhere else you recognize).  They claim they've detected problems on your PC and offer to help you solve the problem.  Sometimes they'll ask to take over your machine to help you but if you decline or appear nervous they'll say "No problem, we can talk you through it."  In either case, they take you to the Event Viewer of your computer (Start > Run1 > EventVWR then click on System or Application in the left pane) where inevitably you'll find errors.  Some errors there are common and normal and nothing serious to worry about but most folks don't know that and fall into the trap.  They sold the last caller software to repair the damage that Microsoft gives away for free and it won't repair those errors anyway.  Then they lead them to a web site that gives them control over their computer, http://www.ammyy.com/en/   (Note:  I have intentionally changed the destination of this site so you won't be compromised if you click on it accidentally but if you do go there and buy a personal luxury submarine, please mention my name as I could really use the $50,000 commission.
My client's initial response was "Well I guess I just got screwed out of $35.00!"
My response was "Did you give them the code off of the back of your credit card?"
A tentative and weak "Yes." ensued.
"Then you have given someone, you don't know, all they need to charge anything they want to your account."
Sometimes they do not exercise that card right away; sometimes they do.  When they don't, it gives you a false sense of security and when your account gets hammered two months later you often do not recall the transaction.  I advised my last client to hang up on me, call his bank immediately to cancel his charge card.  He did. 

I am often at clients' sites when they are forced to take a phone call.  It never ceases to amaze me what people tell complete strangers things that are none of their business.
There are some simple rules to follow.
- If I walked up to you on the street and started asking you personal questions would you tell me if you didn't know me?  No, of course not!  Then why do it on the phone.  People do it all the time.
- Remember when you were in high school and they talked about defensive driving.  They said treat every other driver as if at any instant they'll do something incredibly stupid and plan for it.  They too frequently do but your adherence to that tenet has got you this far in life.  That is still good advice but there is a big difference here.   The person who calls you is out to get everything you own but they'll usually settle for your money or all your identity can buy them.  Tell them nothing even if they seem to know a lot about you!  This is not astrology where someone monkeys with your astral chart, guesses a few random facts and you then believe any bologna they dish out.  Tell them nothing!  Hang up!
- Know who you are talking to.  If you are even slightly suspicious, get their contact information.  Look them up by Googling their phone number and call them back.  If they do not want to give you their name, company or number a big flag should go up.
- Microsoft does not call anyone out of altruism.  Only I do that (you are reading an example right now).
- Capture their number on your caller ID and log into one of the sites designed to decipher and diseminate that type of information2.
- If you must do business over the phone.  Look up the company's phone number and you call them.

Follow up:    When my client called me back he said there were still things going on on his computer screen.  Apparently, the bad guy, we'll call Dennis (arbitrarily) had connected remotely and was "repairing it".  I told my client to immediately walk to the back of his computer and remove the ethernet cable.  He did and guess what?  Things kept happening on the screen making me think that Dennis had what he wanted and was simply running a program with graphs and tables to make it appear as if something was going on while Dennis was making more calls.  While talking to my client he said he had a call coming it and guess who it was?  Sure enough it was dear old evil Dennis.  I told my client what to tell Dennis and to call me back when he was through.  When he called back he said Dennis was upset but when my client was firm about his uncertainty about the legitimacy of the call and started asking his own questions Dennis admitted he did not work for Microsoft but was a certified Microsoft partner.  Furthermore, he was in Los Angeles and not Auburn, Washington where the call originated from.  There was then a pause in the conversation when Dennis learned, from someone in his office, that the credit card had been cancelled.  Dennis was furious asking why would it been cancelled when the service had been provided.  What service was provided?  The only service attempted was robbery.
All we have to do at this point is to repair any damage to the computer Dennis may have done.  I doubt if we'll hear from Dennis again.  Hopefully, he has blacklisted my client.  As an aside my client confided in me that he was about to make a major purchase and had just transferred a significant amount of money to that account.   Hmmmm, maybe I should charge a percentage, nah!  Not my style.

I asked for Dennis' number from my client's caller ID.  This is what I got when I Googled his number.  That was one site.  There are more.

Fortunately, we dodged a bullet this time ... but only by a minute or two.      "Trust no one."  Fox Mulder

Sincerely,
Dave out


~~~~~~~~~~~
"The roots of education are bitter, but the fruit is sweet."  Aristotle, philosopher (384-322 BCE)
~~~~~~~~~~~


1  If you don't have a Run command in your Start menu, they'll either tell you how to put it there or get there through Start > Settings or Control Panel > Administrative Tools > Event Viewer > then click on System or Application in the left pane
.

2  Places to call about Telemarketers: Caller Complaints, FCC, National Do Not Call List.  Google to find more.

Controlled descents - an open letter to NASA stimulated by the UARS uncontrolled descent.

I propose, what is perhaps, not a permanent solution but a stopgap measure to help with raining debris.
With all the junk in orbit it's evident the number of collisions will increase as well as devices, such as UARS, falling simply due to fuel depletion and atmospheric drag.
Unfortunately, until, something like this hits a school, hospital, skyscraper, the Golden Gate bridge or nuclear power plant, no one will take it seriously and that's when the finger pointing will start.
Congress will brand you (NASA) as irresponsible but, only then, will consider funding NASA for a clean up project.  They almost certainly will not now.

My very unglamorous stopgap measure works like sperm.  The sperm is pretty stupid.  It has a very tiny payload and most of its mass are systems designed to provide locomotion to target.  Motor, propellant, navigation, payload ... that's it; all very tiny and energy efficient.  I propose a system with only two additional subsystems, communications and docking/grappling/retractile butterfly net.
I think a very small cost effective rocket/missile might be devised with sufficient fuel to reach and couple with a falling satellite or piece of debris and simply control its descent to a known impact area such as the Mojave Desert, White Sands or a cordoned off area of the ocean.  Most of its fuel expenditure would be to reach the target.  It would not take much fuel to direct the projectile to the splash down/crash down point if the descent could be detected early enough.  If someone was really clever they might be able to snag a few objects on the same trip.

Each recovery device could probably be done for close to the cost of a missile used for weaponry and they crank those things out by the thousands and use lots of them simply for target practice.  A big difference is, weaponry is designed to destroy lives and property whereas this program has the opposite intent.  Periodically, you could launch a S.P.E.R.M. (the Space Protective Environment Recovery Missile) for this purpose.  This would lower the risk, not only to the populace, but also for collisions on future launches.

If this was successful program, a followup program could remove defunct but not yet falling objects from orbit.  This should be much easier to do because the attitude (pitch, roll, yaw) would be better known and controlled.

Finally, I know you have a lot of trouble justifying your missions and this suggestion will not help that but part of the cost of every launch should include the costs of decommissioning a defunct device, i.e. removing it from orbit in a controlled manner.  Future objects placed into orbit should incorporate a standard mechanism for recovery1.

Let's face it.  This is not my field of expertise and I'm certain there are many subtleties of which I'm not aware but if gamers can solve complex bio-molecular puzzles maybe this suggestion, from an ignoramus, might help you.  All I ask is a little feedback beyond "Thank you for your interest.  We will pass it on."  Since I am naive in this arena, if this is a bad idea, as it probably is, I'd like to know why it is.  If so, hopefully, the reasons will be technical and not unacceptably, administrative nor political.

Sincerely,
Dave Ussell
San Diego, California
619-726-6585


~~~~~~~~~~~
"Experience is what you get when you don't get what you want."
~~~~~~~~~~~

1  Each new device, inserted into orbit should have a tiny allocation of fuel whose sole "raison d'être" would be to deliver a controlled descent when the device no longer performs the functions it was placed there to perform.  This is probably the cheapest, most reliable way to clean as we go.


Space happenings to be concerned about. Part of this really could have a huge "impact" upon some of us.

The seed:
On 9/20/2011 7:07 PM, Linda wrote:
David,
They showed this video on the news tonight, just 1 minute long.  It is a different perspective of earth from the space station.  I suppose I thought, like many others do, that the orbit would be circumnavigate vs vertical orbit.
Interesting. hope you enjoy it: 
Linda

Ghegjhdh

~~~~~~~~~~
The response:

Linda,
Thanks for this.  As an astronomy buff I am pretty familiar with the orbits of most things but it's nice to see anyway.
All you need to know about the orbits of most satellites, natural or man made, are that they work like the rings of Saturn.
They can be oriented any way you like as long as the center of mass of the body being orbited is in the plane of the orbit.  In other words, if a big knife were to slice along the plane of the rings/orbit, it would slice the Earth exactly in half no matter the angle.
Orbits need not be circular.  Ellipses are common too.  Satellites closer to the Earth move faster.  Further away ones, move slower.  If they are they are just the right distance away and rotate around the earth at the same speed the earth rotates, they are said to be geosynchronous, or if they're over the same spot on the Earth, all of the time, they are geostationary.  All geostationary satellites are over the equator.
There are many other orbital configurations including polar.  Each has advantages and disadvantages.
Clearly geostationary satellites are perfect for communications or space elevator use.  GPS satellites move over much of the Earth's surface as do Landsat, weather and surveillance satellites.

Speaking of orbits, here is a very new discovery of Kepler 16B (last Thursday) that, I believe, has not hit the news hard yet.  It is quite close at only 200 light years.
Kepler 16B is a planet that is orbiting a binary star, hypothesized but undiscovered until last Thursday.  See:

http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2393115,00.asp
http://newyork.ibtimes.com/articles/217014/20110920/web-users-online-project-new-planet-planet-hunters.htm
I don't broadcast a lot of astronomy information as only a handful of people, besides me, seem interested.

Finally, consider these interesting/important three things.
A - There is a lot of junk that we've put up orbiting the Earth.  Hitting an object with a mass of only a few grams at 50,000 kilometers an hour has a huge effect.  (Bullets are far too insignificant an analogy.)  As more and more of these things are up there, more and more are running into each other creating more and more debris.  The Earth is rapidly becoming enclosed in a shell of garbage.  Consider it a spherical wall of artillery shells traveling fast enough to destroy any man made spacecraft.  Most are being tracked but it is getting increasingly more difficult.  Shoot 'em down, you say.  Each blast, only makes more smaller ones.  Now you've got a bigger wall of, harder to track, bullets instead of artillery shells.  Got a cost effective solution?  Call NASA or other space agency.  They'd love to hear from you.  For the writers out there, how about a story where Earth is visited and fined for littering up the galaxy.  What if we can't pay the fine?

2 - This Friday (9/23/2011), the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite or UARS, a 6½ ton device the size of a school bus, will fall to Earth.  Some of it will burn up.  Some will not.  NASA, FEMA and other space agencies are watching it closely.  No one will know exactly where it will hit but, at best, we'll have about two hours notice.  Unfortunately, until, something like this hits a pre-school, hospital, skyscraper, the Golden Gate bridge or nuclear power plant no one will take it seriously and that's when the finger pointing will start.  Mark my words.  Watch it here http://www.space.com/13018-falling-nasa-satellite-uars-complete-coverage.html and carry an umbrella that day  ;-) .

III - At 2:04 am this Friday, September, 23rd, 2011, (Pacific time, USA) we will experience the Autumnal equinox.  Other than the occasional meteor showers it is one of the four special points in our orbit around the sun.  The others of course are the, vernal equinox, summer and winter solstices.  It is interesting to note that if life did not exist on this planet these four dates would be the only observances on an uninvented, unnecessary, annual calendar.
Dave out

P.S. Just so you astrology fans don't feel left out here are two things for you:
    Your Astrological Sign May Not Be What You Think It Is
    An Astronomer Looks at Astrology

~~~~~~~~~~~

"The roots of education are bitter, but the fruit is sweet."  Aristotle, philosopher (384-322 BCE)
~~~~~~~~~~~


REFLECTIONS IN AUTUMN

With a decade of 9/11 memories soon behind us, my friend, Ray Park offers this creative endeavor.  Used by permission.  Thanks Ray,

Sincerely,
Dave out

~~~~~~~~~~~

REFLECTIONS  IN  AUTUMN                        
       
 A fiery building collapsing, relentlessly falling inward upon itself;
       Silent and surreal to horrified onlookers thousands of miles away,
           From nearby, thunderous and ghastly.
             One hundred stories, in seconds reduced to rubble.                   
            Intense heat, fire, poisonous smoke.
         Screams from the shearing metal and searing souls,
     Death, destruction . . . dust.                   

A colossal shock wave jolting adjacent structures.
     A tsunami commingling horror, fear, and desperation
         Radiating outward engulfing the globe.                                    
           Impassioned saviors converging from near and far,
              Filled with purpose and generosity.
               Thousands struggling to locate survivors,
               Millions volunteering aid,
              Billions cheering them on.
            Around the world, profound grief and disbelief,      
          But it is real,
       So very real.                                     

Common citizens surpassing saints with acts of bravery and benevolence.                                 
        Police and firefighters rushing headlong into the flaming buildings.
              Pompous citizens delivering water and food to the rescuers,                   
                Now endowed with altruism in place of their prior disdain.            
                  Young and old, wealthy and poor, friends and strangers alike
                 Clinging together, cheering firefighters, hugging police,
              And singing!
          Heroes ALL.
        OH, the power of tragedy,
          That it can join those otherwise kept apart by design or circumstance                               
        And prod our better nature into realizing its inherent goodness                                     
     Embodied in noble deeds and sentiments. 
                                             
Enormous compassion pouring out from many lands.    
       Borders fading from view
            As human beings rise to prominence;
                Beings allied by a common mind,
                  Perceiving brotherhood with a global community
                    And transcending their usual parochial points of view.     
                      Candles adorning the altars of the earth,                                          
                        Flowered wreaths in Warsaw, Paris, Nairobi, and Dublin,
                         Memorials honoring the dead;
                         Tears comforting the living.                   
                         A time for respect and reverence,
                       Prayer and praise,
                   Sorrow and solace.  
              Irresistible feelings of love connecting people everywhere.                                               
         For all, a single unifying purpose: 
  Minister unto each other and to the world.        

A surprising sense of optimism arising from the disaster.
           Whether by blessed providence or indifferent fate,
                   We are now presented with a burgeoning hope
                        Glimmering among the ashes
                           Beckoning us to pursue a different course
                              Hitherto unheeded. 
                                Much wisdom to be learned;
                                Much benefit to be earned:                                            
                              Harmony with distant and diverse neighbors,                                   
                           Perspective in place of national myopia,
                       Collective vision to guide the citizens of Earth
                  To fashion a better world for ALL.
             Politicians and generals,
        Proponents of myriad ideologies,
 United as never before behind shared goals and desires.
         A unique opportunity shining forth,
                Could we but see it, embrace it before it fades!

Moments for thoughtful reflection,                                                       
        Realizing that we’ve trod paths destined for disaster:
             Powerful entities covet the fruits of domestic and foreign lands;
                 Others see the fruit rotting in our hands,
                   See us stuffed, unable to swallow more
                  Yet, like monkeys caught in a trap,
               Unwilling to release our grasp.
          Under the vice of avarice and seemingly unaware,
                 With fealty to the reign of power and profit,
                     We consume ever more irreplaceable resources,
                       Returning to the earth toxic liquids and noxious air,                                           
                        Laying waste to our planet just as surely as the terrorists                                                   
                       Who wantonly destroyed our city and so many lives,
                      Slower, to be sure, but an equally effective devastation                                                 
                   And more permanent by far.
              Tacitly condoned by society and leaders telling us
                   That we do what we do in the name of necessity
                     Or self-preservation, or progress.
                    Did the terrorists perhaps hold a similar belief?

A burst of clarity revealing the obvious: 
        That living in isolation is no longer possible. 
             The affairs of humankind are inextricably intertwined.        
                  Reaching across the barriers we have erected,                                                                
                    Be they cultural, racial, religious, or other,
                   Kindred spirits are emerging and building a community
               Spanning oceans, beliefs, and philosophical divides.
        Opportunity rapping on our door.                   
  How much louder need it knock before our awakening?
  
 
               
Ray Park     September 21, 2001  
INTERNATIONAL DAY OF PEACE
September 21, 2011  
 


~~~~~~~~~~~
"The greatest tragedy in mankind's entire history may be the hijacking of morality by religion."  Arthur C Clarke, science fiction writer (1917- 2008)
~~~~~~~~~~~


               

Picking Passwords

Picking Passwords

Original forwarded email from Barbara Peugh
My Nephew Ash's response
My recommendation

~~~

-------- Original Message --------
Subject:     Tips to prevent email from being hijacked
Date:     Tue, 22 Mar 2011 19:31:25 -0700
From:     Barbara Peugh

Friends -
Here is good advice to keep from getting your email addresses, etc., from being stolen.
It is from someone at a listserv I belong to, and it makes good sense to me.
If you have better ideas about this, please let me know.
- Barb
 
Many of you want to know how does this happen: Here is the way your Email can be hijacked.
We all browse the web and often find Web Pages which invite us to "Join (or register) free of charge".
Usually, there is added motivation, that if you register, something desirable will be made available for free.
Now I am not going to tell you to always refuse these enticing offers -- but to understand the risks and minimize them.
When you run across one of these offers that you simply cannot refuse:
1) They will ask for your email address. It's OK to provide this as often they wish to send you information by email.
2) They will also ask you for a password. MANY of us have trouble remembering passwords so we use the same password as we use for your email.

You must realize that you have just GIVEN AWAY your Email account. Anyone, anywhere in the world, can figure out from your Email address which Web Based Email reader has access to ALL your Email. Not only can they read your Email freely, but you have given them permission (your password) to send messages to anyone in the world over your name! Further you have given them full access to the email addresses of all your friends stored in your Email address book!

So here is my recommendation to you!
1) Keep three passwords in your memory
    a) Use only one of them for your email account -- and nothing else
    b) Use the second for any investment or banking you do on-line
    c) Use the third for any web based request, to "register" to obtain ......

2) What if it's too late and you have already given your Email password to one or more Web Sites?
    a) IMMEDIATELY if not sooner - establish a totally different password for Email
    b) Go to your Email - log in with the "old" password, and find out how to change your password.
    c) Then change the password on your email account to the new value.
    d) DO NOT use this password for anything else!

Back to top
~~~

Hi Uncle Dave,

I had a very mixed reaction to this email so I guess I'd better respond.
On one hand:
Yes---many people use the same password for multiple sites.  This is a risky but totally understandable behaviour.  I'm really glad to see a warning about these password honeypot attacks as they are not obvious to most people. I also feel pretty convinced that they'll become substantially more common as they are remarkably effective (darn human nature!).

On the other:
The three password strategy is risky too and rapidly becomes unmaintainable. One site gets compromised so you have to change all the passwords (but I'll only change the one password and remember that 'this one is special'...sure, that and 15 other passwords).  One site requires a '#' in the password as well as upper and lower case letters (they also force you to update every two months). One site the you use frequently to buy things offers to store your credit card information and it is convenient to let them do so---should they now get the banking 'class' password or something in between.  A more subtle case is actually address and contact information---lots of site (ahem, social networking) keep this information and it rapidly becomes hard to determine the right level of trust (and having your accounts compromised and someone else masquerading as you among your friends feels a lot more violating than simply having to get a new credit card).

I've got no magic bullet unfortunately but, having tried a bunch of different options/ideas, I'm coming around to password managers.  At first blush, it really feels like an eggs-in-one-basket approach but, if
a. I'm the only one in control/can unlock my basket (i.e. well encrypted and I'm the secret keeper) and,
b. I'm carefully about where and how I access my basket (two factor authentication etc.),
I think it gives the tremendous benefit of using different, random passwords for each and every site while still being pretty usable.

Personally, I'm currently test driving the password manager built into Google Chrome (unlike most browser managers, it offers an encrypted passphrase option).  I've also used and would recommend LastPass and Keepass. YubiKey looks clever despite its limitations but I haven't used it.

Security, identity, and authentication are the same tricky issues they always have been!

-Ash

Back to top
~~~

My recommendation

I have to maintain hundreds of passwords.  If the passwords are selected by others I must remember to store them securely.
However, if I must pick a password I use an algorithm.  All of my passwords are unique.  There are no family member's names, no birthdays, no pet names, places of birth, special days in any of my passwords.  I don't pick anything obvious.

Years ago I was in an office and I got to a point where I needed the person I was working with, Nancy, to type in her password.  She had become a little miffed that I had asked her so many questions in trying to do my work.  She didn't want to be bothered so when I asked her to enter her password, she made it quite clear she'd enter it when it was convenient for her.  While waiting my eyes fell on a picture of the old cartoon character Slugo from the Nancy cartoon strip.  I entered "Slugo".  It didn't work.  I made it all lower case.  I was in.  She was not happy.

Unknownname
  
0unknownname

Rather than pick some cryptic phrase I use a formula to generate a password.  Since I make up my own rule it becomes sufficiently secure.
This is not my rule.  It is just a sample.  You can be as complex or as simple as you wish.
Let's say I'm trying to make up a password to access my Union Bank account.
My rule says:
    a: ignore any spaces or punctuation
    b: all letters are lower case except they are capitalized in a numerical sequence thusly.  Determine the second smallest number in your telephone number fragment.  Make that your skip interval.  The first letter is not capitalized, then skip every skip interval character thereafter and capitalize the next character, et cetera
    c: numbers must be incorporated but just count as plain characters for capitalization purposes.
    d: the password is in three parts.  Two site dependent parts and one personal part.
        The first part incorporates the site/business name for the 2nd through 5th letter followed by the 3rd through 6th number of the phone number.
        The middle part is a favorite number and my initials.
        The last part is the same as the first except backwards and offset by one rightward from the original.  Therefore, still the 2nd through 5th letter followed by the 3rd through 6th number of the phone number but starting from the right end instead of the left.
        The capitalization rule described above applies uniformly from left to right.
So for my example of the Union Bank site whose phone number is 561-348-6973 (contrived randomly for this example) the password becomes
we start with unionbank and 5613486973 as our roots
the first parts are simply unionbank and 5613486973 giving us nion1348
next we add a favorite number and initials giving me nion1348314dpu
for the last part of the password we add unionbank and 5613486973 giving the penultimate result of nion1348314dpunabn9684  (Underlined letters are due for capitalization.  The second smallest number is 3 so skip three characters between capitals.)
Finally, applying our capitalization rule we have our password nIon1348314dpUnabN9684
You must also incorporate a couple of variations on a theme for passwords that have special requirements such as 6 to 10 characters, no numbers, must change every week, et al

Two points must now be made crystal clear.
    1 - This will make every password unique.  You do not have to remember any of them; just the rule.  If one is discovered there is not enough information to decipher others.  This immediately thwarts sites that attempt to capture your often used common passwords.  These crooks know that people often use the same password for many things.  Giving them this password (and given that they already have your email address) opens many of your doors for them.
    2 - While this technique probably sounds extremely complex on first viewing, it is not.  It sinks in very fast to the point that you can easily make up passwords on the fly without too much thought.  To prove my point consider how complex something you handle, with ease, every day is, when first described to someone new to the concept.  Please listen to the short attachment.

Sincerely,
Dave out

Back to top
~~~

 

 

(download)

Today (March 20th, 2011) is special! Celebrate!

Happy Vernal Equinox!
The two equinoxes and solstices are extremely important days.  Much more so than they are given credit for.
If man had never walked on this planet but we imagine there was a calendar, they would be the ONLY observances on that calendar.
Dave out

~~~~~~~~~~~
"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." Anais Nin
~~~~~~~~~~~

P.S. OK, OK, there would be occasional eclipses and unnamed meteor showers.